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The Trade Idea Newsletter

Democratizing Elite Market Insights:

Your Gateway to Great Options Trade Ideas

 The Foundation of Successful Investing:
For every investor, the cornerstone of success is a reliable and steady stream of quality trade ideas. Hedge Funds are expertly structured to funnel the market's finest ideas to their managers, ensuring that they always stay ahead. Now, it's time to extend this elite advantage to you. My mission is to democratize this process, making top-tier market insights accessible to everyone, leveling the playing field between the Top 1% and everyone else.
Watch This Masterclass: The Next Big Stock Move →

►  Beyond Just Trade Ideas - The Beginning of Strategy:
The Trade Idea newsletter is not just a delivery service for Options Trading Flow; it's the foundation of your Trade Idea development process. Every day, I distill millions of transactions to bring you the Top 5 Unusual Options Activity trades. These aren't random picks; they are carefully analyzed selections that reveal market undercurrents and potential explosive opportunities.

►  Sparking Your Strategic Thinking:
However, it's crucial to understand that these trades are starting points. They are the sparks that should ignite your own analysis and strategy development. By following these Top 5 selections, you're stepping into a realm of strategic thinking. You learn to connect today's trades with past trends, spotting patterns and narratives that can inform your investment decisions.

►  Your Personal Market Scout:
Consider the Trade Idea newsletter as your market reconnaissance, highlighting the most promising sectors and movements. But the true art of investing lies in taking these insights and weaving them into your unique strategy. I’ll guide you in understanding where money is moving, which industries are gaining momentum, what charts show promise, good risk-reward set-ups, and what potential target prices might be, but the development of a full-fledged trade idea is a journey you embark upon, equipped with my insights.

►  The Art of Trade Idea Development:
The value brought to you each day lies not just in the trade flow I share but in sparking your journey towards becoming a more informed, strategic investor. With each newsletter, you're not just receiving Options trade flow; you're learning the art of Trade Idea development from an industry expert with a proven track record for delivering Great Options Trade Ideas reaching triple-digit returns. See The Incredible Results Below.

How Hedge Funds Find The Best Options Ideas

& How You Can Benefit From Their Work

WATCH THIS MASTERCLASS

The Next Big Stock Move

48.9%

The Percentage Of
Winning Picks Premium

Trade Ideas Reaching
Triple-Digit Returns

Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. No trading strategy is risk free. Trading and investing involve substantial risk, and you may lose the entire amount of your principal investment or more. You should trade or invest only “risk capital” - money you can afford to lose. Trading and investing is not appropriate for everyone. We urge you to conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice from your personal financial adviser or investment broker before making any investment decision.

Winning Picks Premium Trade Ideas Stats

Democratizing Elite Market Insights:

Your Gateway to Great Options Trade Ideas

 The Foundation of Successful Investing:
For every investor, the cornerstone of success is a reliable and steady stream of quality trade ideas. Hedge Funds are expertly structured to funnel the market's finest ideas to their managers, ensuring that they always stay ahead. Now, it's time to extend this elite advantage to you. My mission is to democratize this process, making top-tier market insights accessible to everyone, leveling the playing field between the Top 1% and everyone else.
Watch The Masterclass: The Next Big Stock Move (See Below)

►  Beyond Just Trade Ideas - The Beginning of Strategy:
The Trade Idea newsletter is not just a delivery service for Options Trading Flow; it's the foundation of your Trade Idea development process. Every day, I distill millions of transactions to bring you the Top 5 Unusual Options Activity trades. These aren't random picks; they are carefully analyzed selections that reveal market undercurrents and potential explosive opportunities.

►  Sparking Your Strategic Thinking:
However, it's crucial to understand that these trades are starting points. They are the sparks that should ignite your own analysis and strategy development. By following these Top 5 selections, you're stepping into a realm of strategic thinking. You learn to connect today's trades with past trends, spotting patterns and narratives that can inform your investment decisions.

►  Your Personal Market Scout:
Consider the Trade Idea newsletter as your market reconnaissance, highlighting the most promising sectors and movements. But the true art of investing lies in taking these insights and weaving them into your unique strategy. I’ll guide you in understanding where money is moving, which industries are gaining momentum, what charts show promise, good risk-reward set-ups, and what potential target prices might be, but the development of a full-fledged trade idea is a journey you embark upon, equipped with my insights.

►  The Art of Trade Idea Development:
The value brought to you each day lies not just in the trade flow I share but in sparking your journey towards becoming a more informed, strategic investor. With each newsletter, you're not just receiving Options trade flow; you're learning the art of Trade Idea development from an industry expert with a proven track record for delivering Great Options Trade Ideas reaching triple-digit returns. See The Incredible Results Below.

48.9%

The Percentage Of Winning Picks Premium Trade Ideas Reaching Triple-Digit Returns

Winning Picks Premium Trade Ideas Stats

Disclaimer: Past performance is not indicative of future results. No trading strategy is risk free. Trading and investing involve substantial risk, and you may lose the entire amount of your principal investment or more. You should trade or invest only “risk capital” - money you can afford to lose. Trading and investing is not appropriate for everyone. We urge you to conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice from your personal financial adviser or investment broker before making any investment decision.

How Hedge Funds Find The Best Options Ideas

& How You Can Benefit From Their Work

MASTERCLASS

The Next Big Stock Move

The Winning Picks Premium Process:
Finding A Great Options Trade Idea

Winning Picks Premium harnesses the power of Unusual Options Activity to uncover Great Options Trade Ideas. Every trade idea is a blend of three key components: Options Analysis, Technical Analysis, and Fundamental Analysis, which I like to call 'The Story.' Collectively, these elements aim to provide a trade idea with the risk-reward in your favor. However, the journey begins with a consistent flow of promising candidates, serving as the starting point for this comprehensive analysis process.

Trade Idea Filtering Process

The challenge, however, lies in the sheer volume of Unusual Options Activity flooding the system. Attempting to evaluate all this information can become overwhelming, time-consuming, and often confusing.

It’s important to remember that not all options flow in the market will yield clear signals. Your primary objective should be to zero in on those trades that emit high-confidence signals. Achieving this requires a reliable process to sift through millions of trades each day.

Enter the Trade Idea Newsletter.

This curated resource is designed to streamline your focus, handpicking only those trades that meet my stringent criteria for clarity and potential. It’s your guide to navigating the vast ocean of options activity and pinpointing those opportunities that truly stand out.

Here's an example of the process at work...

Trade Idea Newsletter Example #1:
Las Vegas Sands (LVS) - From Options Flow To Great Options Trade Idea

►  Unusual Options Activity led me to LVS for the first time in awhile. Here is a clip from the Trade Idea Newsletter on November 30th:

►  A few weeks later on December 19th, there was more Unusual Options Activity in LVS. This time the strikes were higher and the buyer was aiming for Earnings. I found this development i.e. stock sale, negative reaction, and then a bounce back, to be interesting. 

Winning Picks #703: Las Vegas Sands (LVS)

FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES ONLY

NOTE: After observing the Unusual Options Activity on December 19th, I chose to wait for an opportune pullback. This moment arrived the very next day, and I subsequently proposed this trade on December 21st.  It's important to highlight that I deliberately waited a month from first noticing the unusual activity to entering the trade. My sense of urgency intensified after an article on December 20th suggested that the Chinese government was aware of the casinos' robust performance in December. This second LVS trade seemed to preempt a major announcement from a top Macau official by 24 hours. While it might have been coincidental, the timing was striking enough to take action. *** This trade reached 110%.

December 21, 2023

Trade Idea: LVS $71.46 (Las Vegas Sands)
Buy 1 LVS January 26th $49 Calls $1.60
Sell 1 LVS January 19th $52 Calls $0.40
Net-Debit = $1.20

TI LVS daily chart Winning Picks 122123

The big investors don’t play quarter to quarter, they play over a period of years.

Las Vegas Sands is an interesting play for these type of investors. It’s cheap, but for a reason – they get all of their revenue from Asia, specifically Macau and Singapore, which is closely tied to China’s economy.

The Covid Rebound
China’s economy was late to open up after Covid, so they are still dealing with the re-opening process. While Las Vegas is booming, Macau visitations are still trailing 2019 levels by 20% or 1 million visitors.

Depending on your perspective, that good be a good thing or a bad thing.

For longer term investors, they are looking for good management, good businesses, solid trends and situations where they can find long-term hidden value.

In other words, by the time Macau is booming, LVS is probably double where it is now.

You can see from the chart (dark blue boxes), LVS is trading well below 2019 levels by approximately 40-50%. But take a look at the numbers, Q3 2019 vs Q3 2023:

TI LVS 19 vs 23 chart Winning Picks 122123

2023 is not that far off where they were in 2019. Revenues are off by less than 5%.

And look at the trajectory of revenues over the last year:

TI LVS Revenue chart Winning Picks 122123

That’s a pretty decent move, which is expected to continue as Macau climbs back.

This is the kind of situation where the big long-term players are willing to take a stab. They have seen a year of earnings reports trending higher and some semblance of a complete rebound.

The company’s Board authorized a $2Bn buyback and is eager to get started. Even the CEO mentioned how the stock price didn’t reflect where they were at and the growth in front of them:

“I can't help but be somewhat opportunistic as we look at the market. Our stock is trading roughly COVID levels, and we think our buildings are going to make $5 billion and $40 billion to $50 billion in the next decade. It's hard not to look at the stock and say that's opportunistic.”

The Trade

There are a few other parts to this story that might be affecting the stock.

First, LVS made a strong move in the first half of 2023 only to drop 33% from its May highs. It’s safe to say that investors probably lost money in 2023 with LVS. This qualifies the stock as a tax-selling candidate going into year-end.

In addition, in late-November, the Adelson family sold $2Bn of stock to buy the NBA’s Dallas Mavericks. This liquidity event knocked the stock from $48.50 to $44.75.

The good news is that the year (and tax-selling) is almost over and LVS stock recovered quickly in December after the family’s sale.

There should be some resistance at that $52 level (red line on chart) prior to earnings on January 24th.   

On Tuesday, there was a buyer of 23,000 LVS January 26th $51 Calls for $1.20. This implied a move toward $56-$57 on earnings.

With the stock down yesterday, I want to take the opportunity to get in there behind this buyer.

I like the following trade:
Buy 1 LVS January 26th $49 Calls $1.60
Sell 1 LVS January 19th $52 Calls $0.40
Net-Debit = $1.20

The Target Stock Price is $55. Notice, we are in with a $2 lower strike than the recent buyer and spending about the same amount in premium. If the stock blows through $52 we still make 150%.

Btw, the LVS January 26th $49 Calls for $1.60 also works.

I like the spread slightly more because of the resistance at the $52 level along with the “buffer” we get to the downside.



This presentation is for educational purposes only and is not a recommendation or endorsement of any particular investment or investment strategy. Past performance does not indicate or guarantee future success. Returns will vary and all investments involve risks, including loss of principal.

Options are not suitable for all investors as the special risks inherent to options trading may expose investors to potentially rapid and substantial losses. Options involve risks and are not suitable for everyone. Prior to buying or selling options, an investor must receive a copy of Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options. Copies may be obtained by contacting your broker, The Options Industry Council at One North Wacker Drive, Chicago, IL 60606, or by visiting www.OptionsEducation.org.

Felix Frey Is not registered as an investment adviser nor a broker/dealer with either the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission or any state securities regulatory authority. All users of this video and/or website must determine for themselves what specific investments to make or not to make and are urged to consult with their own independent financial advisors with respect to any investment decision. The viewer bears responsibility for his/her own investment research and decisions, should seek the advice of a qualified securities professional before making any investment, and investigate and fully understand any and all risks before investing. All opinions, analysis and information included on this report, video and/or website are based on sources believed to be reliable and written or produced in good faith, but should be independently verified, and no representation or warranty of any kind, express or implied, is made, including but not limited to any representation or warranty concerning accuracy, completeness, correctness, timeliness or appropriateness. In addition, I undertake no responsibility to notify such opinions, analysis or information or to keep such opinions, analysis, or information current. Also be aware that owners, employees, writers, or producers of and for Felix Frey or OptionsGeek,LLC. may have long or short positions in securities that may be discussed on this report, video and/or website. Past results are not indicative of future profits.

Trade Idea Newsletter Example #2:
November 20th, 2023
Comments Update - January 5, 2024

In this case, I provided suggested ranges for trading UBER. 

As Winning Picks Members already had a long position, I indicated that $64 seemed to be an upper limit. Additionally, I suggested that the range between $52 and $50 could be a favorable re-entry point for the trade, with a recommended stop just below $49.

Eventually, the stock hit a high of $63.53 on two occasions before falling back to $57.50.

Just a few days prior, BA secured multiple orders at the Aviation Conference, signaling a positive turnaround after several challenging years.

Notice the chart mirrors the logic applied to the LVS trade: If the situation for BA is "good", then shouldn't BA trade back toward $300?

The stock soared to $267.54. 

Boeing would've been a Winning Picks Premium Trade Idea, but the high premiums were beyond what most members typically invest in.

DIS has retreated beneath its previously established resistance level, gradually declining over the past six weeks. The activists are involved on several fronts here, some more hostile than others, trying to instigate management changes to get the stock moving higher.

It still looks interesting and it is certainly on my watchlist. 

Set up Stock Alerts with these Pivot levels (blue line).

They are instrumental in gauging potential shifts in supply and demand, not just today but going forward. They serve as timely alerts, prompting me to reassess my strategies. For instance, if I was previously bullish, these levels might indicate when it's time to adopt a bearish outlook, and vice versa.

In this case, FITB broke through $29 on December 1st and is up another 20% to $35 in 5 weeks.

CCJ has been a Winning Picks Premium Trade Idea multiple times over the last few years.

In general, the blue lines have been the "map" for sometime. Our latest trade entry with a Call Spread was when it broke the trend higher in May and then pulled back to $30 in late-June.

The stock made a recent high at $47 and is now under $43 and also under the 50-dma, which means I am now looking for further weakness into the high-$30s look for a possible re-entry.

Trade Idea Newsletter Example #2:
November 20th, 2023
Comments Update - January 5, 2024

In this case, I provided suggested ranges for trading UBER. 

As Winning Picks Members already had a long position, I indicated that $64 seemed to be an upper limit. Additionally, I suggested that the range between $52 and $50 could be a favorable re-entry point for the trade, with a recommended stop just below $49.

Eventually, the stock hit a high of $63.53 on two occasions before falling back to $57.50.

Just a few days prior, BA secured multiple orders at the Aviation Conference, signaling a positive turnaround after several challenging years.

Notice the chart mirrors the logic applied to the LVS trade: If the situation for BA is "good", then shouldn't BA trade back toward $300?

The stock soared to $267.54. 

Boeing would've been a Winning Picks Premium Trade Idea, but the high premiums were beyond what most members typically invest in.

DIS has retreated beneath its previously established resistance level, gradually declining over the past six weeks. The activists are involved on several fronts here, some more hostile than others, trying to instigate management changes to get the stock moving higher.

It still looks interesting and it is certainly on my watchlist. 

Set up Stock Alerts with these Pivot levels (blue line).

They are instrumental in gauging potential shifts in supply and demand, not just today but going forward. They serve as timely alerts, prompting me to reassess my strategies. For instance, if I was previously bullish, these levels might indicate when it's time to adopt a bearish outlook, and vice versa.

In this case, FITB broke through $29 on December 1st and is up another 20% to $35 in 5 weeks.

CCJ has been a Winning Picks Premium Trade Idea multiple times over the last few years.

In general, the blue lines have been the "map" for sometime. Our latest trade entry with a Call Spread was when it broke the trend higher in May and then pulled back to $30 in late-June.

The stock made a recent high at $47 and is now under $43 and also under the 50-dma, which means I am now looking for further weakness into the high-$30s look for a possible re-entry.

Trade Idea Newsletter Example #3:
Historical Database - Tag & Search

Indeed, a single Unusual Options Activity trade might be compelling enough to act upon. However, when you observe a series of such trades over time, they collectively narrate a much more comprehensive story. Within the Trade Idea Forum, I meticulously track and archive all these newsletters and their corresponding articles. This repository allows me to revisit past insights, recall the news influencing stock movements at the time, and review critical pivot levels.

Additionally, the Forum features dedicated sections for separate articles, in-depth research, and related Unusual Options Activity. By meticulously tagging each piece of content, I can easily access various thoughts and analyses I've had at different times.

Take 'CCJ' as a prime example.

A simple search for 'CCJ' in the Forum brings up a plethora of trades and considerations that have accumulated over months, complete with charts and data. This function prompts critical questions: Has there been a shift in the market sentiment? Does the original trend still hold, or is the stock moving in a new direction? Has the overarching 'story' of the stock evolved?

This method is a powerful tool for objectively analyzing how patterns and trends develop over time, offering a clearer understanding of the market dynamics.


One Final Word...

Learning by example often proves to be the most effective. Each Winning Pick Premium Trade Idea I share is infused with subtle yet insightful details that you can learn from. What sparked my interest in the trade? What specific elements caught my attention? How did I uncover 'The Story' behind it? What was my approach to charting it?

This collection is akin to an encyclopedia for developing trade ideas, spanning across 148 trades. Each one is like a unique case study, offering valuable lessons. Many of our members have expressed how incredibly beneficial they find this practical, example-based approach. Get it now!

winning picks book cover

Winning Pick$

By Felix Frey

How to Develop Options Trading Ideas Making Consistent 150-400% Returns

How to Develop Options

Trade Ideas Making

Consistent 150-400% Returns

  • The Best Strategy in Options Trading for Beginners looking to Buy Options. 
  • See the Analysis Done on 148 Trading Ideas that Consistently Reached Triple-Digit Returns.
  • Learn a 7-Step Process on How to Construct a Great Risk-Reward Trading Idea Using Options.
  • Get 16 Questions You Should Start with in Your Pursuit of the Right Trading Idea.
  • Plus Bonus! Get access to a 2-Part Live Seminar that will blow you away.
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Information contained in any email and this website maintained by OptionsGeek, LLC (“OptionsGeek”) are provided for educational purposes only and are neither an offer nor a recommendation to buy or sell any security, options on equities or indices, or cryptocurrency. OptionsGeek and its affiliates may hold a position in any of the companies mentioned. OptionsGeek is neither a registered investment adviser nor a broker-dealer and does not provide customized or personalized recommendations. Any one-on-one coaching or similar products or services offered by or through OptionsGeek does not provide or constitute personal advice, does not take into consideration and is not based on the unique or specific needs, objectives or financial circumstances of any person, and is intended for educational purposes only. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. No trading strategy is risk free. Trading and investing involve substantial risk, and you may lose the entire amount of your principal investment or more. You should trade or invest only “risk capital” - money you can afford to lose. Trading and investing is not appropriate for everyone. We urge you to conduct your own research and due diligence and obtain professional advice from your personal financial adviser or investment broker before making any investment decision.

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